Ligue 1 analysis

Matchday 11 - Season 2025-26

Analyse chiffrée et probabilités générées par un modèle statistique. Chaque match est décrit par ses données : score pondéré, pick suggéré, cotes et statut (joué ou à venir).

Data-driven model 9 match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J11 Matches: 7 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated decisions 7

Total simulated amount 80,00 €

Simulated result +47,95 €

Overall ROI +59,9 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Mise fictive 10,00 €

Combined odds (information) 4,15

Indicative result 41,54 €

Results recap

AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille — Pick 2 — Result 2 (0 - 1)
RC Lens vs FC Lorient — Pick 1 — Result 1 (3 - 0)
Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice — Pick 1 — Result 1 (1 - 0)

J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34

J11 / 34

⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière

Paris Saint-Germain

OGC Nice

Terminé On 01 Nov 2025 at 17:00 Score : 1 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 54,7 %

Related odds 2/5

Weighted score 2,321

Paris Saint-Germain favorisé par Forme (Points) (+3,09).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,30

0,50

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

77,0 %

Possession

23,0 %

96,0 %

Passes reussies

80,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result +2,00 €

Match ROI +40,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 2/5 / 7/2 / 6/1

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 54,7 % N 25,8 % 2 19,5 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,230 / 0,160 / 0,360

Raw pick 1

AS Monaco

Paris FC

Terminé On 01 Nov 2025 at 19:00 Score : 0 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision N

Associated probability 28,1 %

Related odds 14/5

Weighted score -0,251

Match équilibré : AS Monaco porté par Forme (Points) (+2,83), Paris FC par xG (-2,71).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,60

0,90

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

55,0 %

Possession

45,0 %

89,0 %

Passes reussies

91,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result -5,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 3/5 / 14/5 / 9/2

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 40,6 % N 28,1 % 2 31,3 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,350 / 0,070 / 0,720

Raw pick N

AJ Auxerre

Olympique de Marseille

Terminé On 01 Nov 2025 at 21:05 Score : 0 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 76,4 %

Related odds 23/20

Weighted score -9,446

Olympique de Marseille favorisé par Forme (Points) (-7,17).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,20

0,50

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

49,0 %

Possession

51,0 %

90,0 %

Passes reussies

94,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result +23,00 €

Match ROI +115,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/5 / 21/10 / 23/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 6,3 % N 17,3 % 2 76,4 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,800 / -0,460 / 0,640

Raw pick 2

Stade Rennais FC

RC Strasbourg Alsace

Terminé On 02 Nov 2025 at 15:00 Score : 4 - 1 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -1,649

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,40

1,60

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

41,0 %

Possession

59,0 %

92,0 %

Passes reussies

93,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/5 / 23/10 / 3/2

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 33,1 % N 28,2 % 2 38,7 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,210 / -0,070 / -0,030

Raw pick Pas de pari

Toulouse FC

Le Havre AC

Terminé On 02 Nov 2025 at 17:15 Score : 0 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 39,2 %

Related odds 33/10

Weighted score -1,727

Le Havre AC favorisé par xG (-2,01).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,10

1,30

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

46,0 %

Possession

54,0 %

82,0 %

Passes reussies

89,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result -20,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 17/25 / 12/5 / 33/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 32,7 % N 28,2 % 2 39,2 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,450 / -0,040 / 0,680

Raw pick 2

RC Lens

FC Lorient

Terminé On 02 Nov 2025 at 17:15 Score : 3 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 67,7 %

Related odds 19/50

Weighted score 4,969

RC Lens favorisé par H2H (+3,86).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,10

1,80

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

58,0 %

Possession

42,0 %

95,0 %

Passes reussies

92,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result +1,90 €

Match ROI +38,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 19/50 / 17/5 / 49/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 67,7 % N 21,4 % 2 10,9 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,070 / -0,060 / -0,360

Raw pick 1

LOSC Lille

Angers SCO

Terminé On 02 Nov 2025 at 17:15 Score : 1 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 53,9 %

Related odds 21/100

Weighted score 2,153

LOSC Lille favorisé par H2H (+2,90).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,00

0,40

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

54,0 %

Possession

46,0 %

92,0 %

Passes reussies

88,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result +1,05 €

Match ROI +21,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 21/100 / 9/2 / 44/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 53,9 % N 26,0 % 2 20,2 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,350 / 0,430 / 0,980

Raw pick 1

FC Nantes

FC Metz

Terminé On 02 Nov 2025 at 17:15 Score : 0 - 2 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 46,3 %

Related odds 9/4

Weighted score -3,011

FC Metz favorisé par H2H (-2,90).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,80

1,30

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

52,0 %

Possession

48,0 %

89,0 %

Passes reussies

92,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result +45,00 €

Match ROI +225,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 19/20 / 47/20 / 9/4

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 26,3 % N 27,5 % 2 46,3 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,490 / -0,080 / 0,500

Raw pick 2

Stade Brestois

Olympique Lyonnais

Terminé On 02 Nov 2025 at 20:45 Score : 0 - 0 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score —

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement un vainqueur.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,50

0,20

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

50,0 %

Possession

50,0 %

89,0 %

Passes reussies

90,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J11 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 43/20 / 12/5 / 11/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities -

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Understanding the Footlab analysis

Full report J11 02/01/2026

Analyse post-match basée sur des simulations et des résultats réels. Aucun conseil, aucune promesse.

Bilan J11

🧾 Bilan Footlab – Journée 11

✅ Matchs bien anticipés

AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille (choix 2, résultat 2)
RC Lens vs FC Lorient (choix 1, résultat 1)
FC Nantes vs FC Metz (choix 2, résultat 2)

❌ Matchs ratés

Stade Brestois 29 vs Olympique Lyonnais (choix 2, résultat N)

⏸️ Matchs sans décision

Toulouse FC vs Le Havre AC
Stade Rennais FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
Paris Saint-Germain vs OGC Nice
AS Monaco vs Paris FC
LOSC Lille vs Angers SCO

💎 Value élevée réussie

AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille (value 0.57)
FC Nantes vs FC Metz (value 0.49)

⚠️ Value élevée échouée

Stade Brestois 29 vs Olympique Lyonnais (value 0.25)

📊 Lecture globale

Une journée solide, avec des values bien exploitées malgré un revers isolé.

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.