Ligue 1 analysis

Matchday 13 - Season 2025-26

Analyse chiffrée et probabilités générées par un modèle statistique. Chaque match est décrit par ses données : score pondéré, pick suggéré, cotes et statut (joué ou à venir).

Data-driven model 9 match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J13 Matches: 8 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 8
Total simulated amount 75,00 €
Simulated result +118,80 €
Overall ROI +158,4 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Mise fictive 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 4,10
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Havre AC — Pick 1 — Result 1 (3 - 0)
  • RC Lens vs RC Strasbourg Alsace — Pick 1 — Result 1 (1 - 0)
  • FC Nantes vs FC Lorient — Pick 1 — Result N (1 - 1)
Terminé Score : 1 - 5 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 46,9 %
Related odds 23/10
Weighted score -3,119

Olympique de Marseille favorisé par Forme (Points) (-1,50).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
1,20
xG
2,90
13
Tirs
10
7
Tirs cadres
11
Possession
53,0 %
Possession
47,0 %
93,0 %
Passes reussies
91,0 %
Discipline
9
Fautes
10
2
Cartons jaunes
2
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result +46,00 €
Match ROI +230,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 49/20 / 5/2 / 23/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 25,7 % N 27,4 % 2 46,9 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,110 / -0,040 / 0,550
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 1 - 0 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 60,2 %
Related odds 79/100
Weighted score 3,380

RC Lens favorisé par H2H (+2,90).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
1,90
xG
0,50
8
Tirs
7
5
Tirs cadres
1
Possession
55,0 %
Possession
45,0 %
88,0 %
Passes reussies
85,0 %
Discipline
13
Fautes
13
2
Cartons jaunes
3
1
Cartons rouges
1
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result +3,95 €
Match ROI +79,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 79/100 / 5/2 / 23/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 60,2 % N 24,2 % 2 15,6 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,080 / -0,150 / -0,490
Raw pick 1
Terminé Score : 4 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 43,6 %
Related odds 29/20
Weighted score -2,522

AS Monaco favorisé par H2H (-1,93).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
3,70
xG
1,30
11
Tirs
7
9
Tirs cadres
3
Possession
50,0 %
Possession
50,0 %
86,0 %
Passes reussies
90,0 %
Discipline
3
Fautes
13
0
Cartons jaunes
1
0
Cartons rouges
1
0
Penalties conc.
1
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result -5,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 6/5 / 5/2 / 29/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 28,6 % N 27,8 % 2 43,6 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,370 / -0,030 / 0,070
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 3 - 0 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 85,2 %
Related odds 9/100
Weighted score 10,321

Paris Saint-Germain favorisé par Forme (Points) (+8,19).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
3,50
xG
1,20
24
Tirs
9
11
Tirs cadres
4
Possession
65,0 %
Possession
35,0 %
91,0 %
Passes reussies
79,0 %
Discipline
10
Fautes
8
2
Cartons jaunes
1
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result +0,45 €
Match ROI +9,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 9/100 / 53/10 / 12/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 85,2 % N 12,1 % 2 2,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,070 / -0,240 / -0,640
Raw pick 1
Terminé Score : 0 - 0 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 56,0 %
Related odds 71/100
Weighted score -4,805

Olympique Lyonnais favorisé par Forme (Points) (-2,58).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
2,10
xG
1,60
7
Tirs
12
5
Tirs cadres
7
Possession
30,0 %
Possession
70,0 %
86,0 %
Passes reussies
91,0 %
Discipline
10
Fautes
11
1
Cartons jaunes
3
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
1
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result -5,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 14/5 / 47/20 / 71/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 18,6 % N 25,4 % 2 56,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,300 / -0,150 / -0,040
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 3 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision Aucune décision
Associated probability
Related odds
Weighted score

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement un vainqueur.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
3,10
xG
1,10
17
Tirs
2
7
Tirs cadres
3
Possession
56,0 %
Possession
44,0 %
93,0 %
Passes reussies
88,0 %
Discipline
11
Fautes
8
2
Cartons jaunes
3
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
2
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 57/100 / 51/20 / 33/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities -
Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —
Terminé Score : 0 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 38,3 %
Related odds 43/10
Weighted score -1,570

Angers SCO favorisé par xG (-2,44).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
2,00
xG
0,40
22
Tirs
6
6
Tirs cadres
2
Possession
54,0 %
Possession
46,0 %
87,0 %
Passes reussies
86,0 %
Discipline
15
Fautes
15
1
Cartons jaunes
3
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result +86,00 €
Match ROI +430,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 23/50 / 53/20 / 43/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 33,5 % N 28,2 % 2 38,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,510 / 0,030 / 1,030
Raw pick 2
Terminé Score : 1 - 1 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 56,1 %
Related odds 11/10
Weighted score 2,568

FC Nantes favorisé par H2H (+1,93).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
0,80
xG
0,30
9
Tirs
8
1
Tirs cadres
1
Possession
56,0 %
Possession
44,0 %
93,0 %
Passes reussies
90,0 %
Discipline
17
Fautes
17
1
Cartons jaunes
1
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
0
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 10,00 €
Simulated result -10,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/10 / 43/20 / 7/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 56,1 % N 25,4 % 2 18,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,180 / -0,200 / -0,490
Raw pick 1
Terminé Score : 4 - 2 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 54,3 %
Related odds 12/25
Weighted score 2,236

LOSC Lille favorisé par Forme (Points) (+3,18).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Offensif
4,00
xG
1,50
16
Tirs
7
10
Tirs cadres
3
Possession
52,0 %
Possession
48,0 %
89,0 %
Passes reussies
90,0 %
Discipline
9
Fautes
12
1
Cartons jaunes
2
0
Cartons rouges
0
0
Penalties conc.
2
Period: J13 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result +2,40 €
Match ROI +48,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 12/25 / 57/20 / 73/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 54,3 % N 25,9 % 2 19,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,200 / 0,000 / -0,080
Raw pick 1
Full report J13 02/01/2026
Analyse post-match basée sur des simulations et des résultats réels. Aucun conseil, aucune promesse.

Bilan J13

🧾 Bilan Footlab – Journée 13

La treizième journée a proposé un nombre limité de décisions, avec un accent mis sur la qualité plutôt que la quantité.

✅ Matchs bien anticipés

  • Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Havre AC (choix 1, résultat 1)
  • OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille (choix 2, résultat 2)

❌ Matchs ratés

  • AJ Auxerre vs Olympique Lyonnais (choix 2, résultat N)
  • Stade Brestois 29 vs FC Metz (choix 2, résultat 1)

⏸️ Matchs sans décision

  • Stade Rennais FC vs AS Monaco
  • Toulouse FC vs Angers SCO
  • LOSC Lille vs Paris FC
  • RC Lens vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
  • FC Nantes vs FC Lorient

💎 Value élevée réussie

  • OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille (value 0.47)

⚠️ Value élevée échouée

  • Stade Brestois 29 vs FC Metz (value 1.33)

📊 Lecture globale

Une journée prudente, avec peu de paris mais des signaux clairs sur certaines affiches clés.

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.