Ligue 1 analysis

Matchday 7 - Season 2025-26

Analyse chiffrée et probabilités générées par un modèle statistique. Chaque match est décrit par ses données : score pondéré, pick suggéré, cotes et statut (joué ou à venir).

Data-driven model 9 match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J7 Matches: 8 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated decisions 8

Total simulated amount 110,00 €

Simulated result -51,70 €

Overall ROI -47,0 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Mise fictive 10,00 €

Combined odds (information) 3,64

Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille — Pick 2 — Result 2 (0 - 3)
Olympique Lyonnais vs Toulouse FC — Pick 1 — Result 2 (1 - 2)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Angers SCO — Pick 1 — Result 1 (5 - 0)

J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34

J7 / 34

⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière

Paris FC

FC Lorient

Terminé On 03 Oct 2025 at 20:45 Score : 2 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 35,4 %

Related odds 11/4

Weighted score -1,031

FC Lorient favorisé par xG (-2,05).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,00

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

59,0 %

Possession

41,0 %

91,0 %

Passes reussies

84,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result -20,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 19/25 / 13/5 / 11/4

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 36,3 % N 28,3 % 2 35,4 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,360 / 0,020 / 0,330

Raw pick 2

FC Metz

Olympique de Marseille

Terminé On 04 Oct 2025 at 17:00 Score : 0 - 3 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 81,8 %

Related odds 21/50

Weighted score -11,186

Olympique de Marseille favorisé par Forme (Points) (-7,59).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,20

2,70

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

38,0 %

Possession

62,0 %

85,0 %

Passes reussies

91,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 10,00 €

Simulated result +4,20 €

Match ROI +42,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 47/10 / 67/20 / 21/50

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 4,0 % N 14,3 % 2 81,8 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,770 / -0,380 / 0,160

Raw pick 2

Stade Brestois

FC Nantes

Terminé On 04 Oct 2025 at 19:00 Score : 0 - 0 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score —

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement un vainqueur.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,50

0,20

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

51,0 %

Possession

49,0 %

81,0 %

Passes reussies

84,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 77/100 / 5/2 / 57/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities -

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

AJ Auxerre

RC Lens

Terminé On 04 Oct 2025 at 21:05 Score : 1 - 2 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 60,0 %

Related odds 77/100

Weighted score -7,173

RC Lens favorisé par Forme (Points) (-4,31).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,70

0,40

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

57,0 %

Possession

43,0 %

81,0 %

Passes reussies

82,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 10,00 €

Simulated result +7,70 €

Match ROI +77,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 27/10 / 53/20 / 77/100

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 13,5 % N 26,5 % 2 60,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,590 / -0,220 / 0,200

Raw pick 2

Olympique Lyonnais

Toulouse FC

Terminé On 05 Oct 2025 at 15:00 Score : 1 - 2 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 77,3 %

Related odds 73/100

Weighted score 7,456

Olympique Lyonnais favorisé par Forme (Points) (+5,64).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,20

1,50

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

69,0 %

Possession

31,0 %

86,0 %

Passes reussies

71,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result -20,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 73/100 / 13/5 / 11/4

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 77,3 % N 16,8 % 2 5,9 %

Values 1 / N / 2 0,340 / -0,390 / -0,780

Raw pick 1

Le Havre AC

Stade Rennais FC

Terminé On 05 Oct 2025 at 17:15 Score : 2 - 2 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 59,1 %

Related odds 21/20

Weighted score -5,410

Stade Rennais FC favorisé par xG (-3,21).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,70

1,10

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

43,0 %

Possession

57,0 %

81,0 %

Passes reussies

84,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result -20,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 41/20 / 23/10 / 21/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 16,3 % N 24,5 % 2 59,1 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,500 / -0,190 / 0,210

Raw pick 2

AS Monaco

OGC Nice

Terminé On 05 Oct 2025 at 17:15 Score : 2 - 2 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision N

Associated probability 28,0 %

Related odds 14/5

Weighted score 0,041

Match équilibré : AS Monaco porté par Forme (Points) (+2,18), OGC Nice par xG (-2,28).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

3,00

1,20

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

66,0 %

Possession

34,0 %

84,0 %

Passes reussies

68,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result +14,00 €

Match ROI +280,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 19/25 / 14/5 / 5/2

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 42,2 % N 28,0 % 2 29,8 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,260 / 0,060 / 0,040

Raw pick N

RC Strasbourg Alsace

Angers SCO

Terminé On 05 Oct 2025 at 17:15 Score : 5 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 65,6 %

Related odds 12/25

Weighted score 4,503

RC Strasbourg Alsace favorisé par Forme (Points) (+4,98).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

4,70

0,30

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

66,0 %

Possession

34,0 %

90,0 %

Passes reussies

78,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result +2,40 €

Match ROI +48,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 12/25 / 57/20 / 22/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 65,6 % N 22,3 % 2 12,1 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,030 / -0,140 / -0,340

Raw pick 1

LOSC Lille

Paris Saint-Germain

Terminé On 05 Oct 2025 at 20:45 Score : 1 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 60,0 %

Related odds 29/50

Weighted score -14,515

Paris Saint-Germain favorisé par Forme (Points) (-7,41).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,70

1,50

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

38,0 %

Possession

62,0 %

81,0 %

Passes reussies

91,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J7 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result -20,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 16/5 / 3/1 / 29/50

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 5,8 % N 34,2 % 2 60,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,930 / -0,620 / 0,410

Raw pick 2

Understanding the Footlab analysis

Full report J7 02/01/2026

Analyse post-match basée sur des simulations et des résultats réels. Aucun conseil, aucune promesse.

Bilan J7

🧾 Bilan Footlab – Journée 7

La septième journée a été riche en décisions, avec une exposition plus marquée sur des paris à forte value.

✅ Matchs bien anticipés

FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille (choix 2, résultat 2)
AJ Auxerre vs RC Lens (choix 2, résultat 2)
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Angers SCO (choix 1, résultat 1)

❌ Matchs ratés

LOSC Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain (choix 2, résultat N)
Olympique Lyonnais vs Toulouse FC (choix 1, résultat 2)
Le Havre AC vs Stade Rennais FC (choix 2, résultat N)

⏸️ Matchs sans décision

Paris FC vs FC Lorient
AS Monaco vs OGC Nice
Stade Brestois 29 vs FC Nantes

💎 Value élevée réussie

FC Metz vs Olympique de Marseille (value 0.20)
AJ Auxerre vs RC Lens (value 0.20)

⚠️ Value élevée échouée

LOSC Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain (value 0.27)
Olympique Lyonnais vs Toulouse FC (value 0.44)
Le Havre AC vs Stade Rennais FC (value 0.26)

📊 Lecture globale

Une journée engagée, où les bonnes lectures ont été contrebalancées par une variance importante sur les paris à forte value.

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.