Ligue 1 analysis

Matchday 33 - Season 2025-26

Analyse chiffrée et probabilités générées par un modèle statistique. Chaque match est décrit par ses données : score pondéré, pick suggéré, cotes et statut (joué ou à venir).

Data-driven model 9 match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J33 Matches: 0 Simulated

Insufficient data.

Understanding these numbers

Insufficient data

J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34

J33 / 34

⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière

RC Lens

FC Nantes

Terminé On 08 May 2026 at 20:45 Score : 1 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 96,1 %

Related odds 2/5

Weighted score 19,070

RC Lens favorisé par Forme (Points) (+11,33).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,82

1,25

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

64,0 %

Possession

36,0 %

81,4 %

Passes reussies

70,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 2/5 / 4/1 / 23/4

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 96,1 % N 3,7 % 2 0,2 %

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Raw pick 1

Paris Saint-Germain

Stade Brestois

Terminé On 10 May 2026 at 21:00 Score : 1 - 0 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score —

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement un vainqueur.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,25

0,16

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

67,0 %

Possession

33,0 %

88,6 %

Passes reussies

79,4 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 3/20 / 7/1 / 15/1

1 / N / 2 probabilities -

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Le Havre AC

Olympique de Marseille

Terminé On 10 May 2026 at 21:00 Score : 0 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 60,0 %

Related odds 49/50

Weighted score -6,230

Olympique de Marseille favorisé par Forme (Points) (-3,84).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,20

1,12

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

50,0 %

Possession

50,0 %

80,1 %

Passes reussies

80,6 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 12/5 / 11/4 / 49/50

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 14,8 % N 25,2 % 2 60,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Raw pick 2

Toulouse FC

Olympique Lyonnais

Terminé On 10 May 2026 at 21:00 Score : 2 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 47,3 %

Related odds 77/100

Weighted score -3,197

Olympique Lyonnais favorisé par Forme (Points) (-2,92).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,13

1,54

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

39,0 %

Possession

61,0 %

81,4 %

Passes reussies

87,3 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 13/4 / 57/20 / 77/100

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 25,4 % N 27,3 % 2 47,3 %

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Raw pick 2

Angers SCO

RC Strasbourg Alsace

Terminé On 10 May 2026 at 21:00 Score : 1 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 55,2 %

Related odds 7/4

Weighted score 2,402

Angers SCO favorisé par Surperformance (+0,75).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,59

1,90

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

32,0 %

Possession

68,0 %

70,6 %

Passes reussies

89,6 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/4 / 49/20 / 37/25

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 55,2 % N 25,7 % 2 19,2 %

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Raw pick 1

Stade Rennais FC

Paris FC

Terminé On 10 May 2026 at 21:00 Score : 2 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 84,4 %

Related odds 49/100

Weighted score 9,979

Stade Rennais FC favorisé par Forme (Points) (+5,33).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,79

1,20

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

51,0 %

Possession

49,0 %

78,3 %

Passes reussies

80,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 49/100 / 37/10 / 23/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 84,4 % N 12,6 % 2 3,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Raw pick 1

AS Monaco

LOSC Lille

Terminé On 10 May 2026 at 21:00 Score : 0 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 60,0 %

Related odds 17/10

Weighted score -7,111

LOSC Lille favorisé par Forme (Points) (-6,42).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,37

0,39

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

55,0 %

Possession

45,0 %

82,3 %

Passes reussies

78,7 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/5 / 13/5 / 17/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 13,6 % N 26,4 % 2 60,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Raw pick 2

AJ Auxerre

OGC Nice

Terminé On 10 May 2026 at 21:00 Score : 2 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 64,1 %

Related odds 69/50

Weighted score 4,183

AJ Auxerre favorisé par Forme (Points) (+2,44).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,72

1,26

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

52,0 %

Possession

48,0 %

80,1 %

Passes reussies

78,1 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 69/50 / 49/20 / 9/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 64,1 % N 22,8 % 2 13,1 %

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Raw pick 1

FC Metz

FC Lorient

Terminé On 10 May 2026 at 21:00 Score : 0 - 4 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 60,0 %

Related odds 11/10

Weighted score -8,715

FC Lorient favorisé par Forme (Points) (-9,00).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,45

2,34

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

54,0 %

Possession

46,0 %

89,9 %

Passes reussies

85,8 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J33 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/5 / 13/5 / 11/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 11,5 % N 28,5 % 2 60,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

Raw pick 2

Understanding the Footlab analysis

Full report J33 11/05/2026

Analyse post-match basée sur des simulations et des résultats réels. Aucun conseil, aucune promesse.

Bilan J33

Bilan Footlab – Ligue 1 – Journée 33

Matchs bien anticipés

AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice → Choix : 1 ✅
Le Havre AC vs Olympique de Marseille → Choix : 2 ✅
RC Lens vs FC Nantes → Choix : 1 ✅
FC Metz vs FC Lorient → Choix : 2 ✅
AS Monaco vs LOSC Lille → Choix : 2 ✅

Matchs ratés

Angers SCO vs RC Strasbourg Alsace → Choix : 1 ❌ (Résultat : N)
Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyonnais → Choix : 2 ❌ (Résultat : 1)

Matchs sans décision

Paris Saint-Germain vs Stade Brestois

Value élevée réussie

Aucun.

Value élevée échouée

Aucun.

Conclusion

Avec 5 bons pronostics sur 7 décisions prises, Footlab signe une journée globalement positive sur cette 33e journée de Ligue 1. Les matchs les plus lisibles ont été correctement identifiés tandis que certaines rencontres plus imprévisibles ont échappé au modèle.

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.