La Liga 2026-2027
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La Liga analysis

Matchday 4 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 10 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J4 Matches played and predicted: 6 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 6
Total simulated amount 75,00 €
Simulated result -33,50 €
Overall ROI -44,7 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 9,35
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • Valencia vs Barcelona — Pick 2 — Result 2 (0 - 5)
  • Getafe vs Celta Vigo — Pick 1 — Result N (1 - 1)
  • Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander — Pick 1 — Result 1 (3 - 2)
J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34 J35 J36 J37 J38
J4 / 38
⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière
Real Betis Real Betis
vs
Real Madrid Real Madrid
Finished Score: 1 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -4,150

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,93
xG
3,46
10
Shots
20
5
Shots on target
8
Possession
42,0 %
Possession
58,0 %
87,0 %
Completed passes
92,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
13
3
Yellow cards
4
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/2 / 31/10 / 13/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 31,6 % N 28,1 % 2 40,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 1,370 / 0,410 / -0,450
Raw pick Pas de pari
Athletic Club Athletic Club
vs
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
Finished Score: 3 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -13,099

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,41
xG
1,02
11
Shots
15
4
Shots on target
5
Possession
38,0 %
Possession
62,0 %
82,0 %
Completed passes
90,0 %
Discipline
8
Fouls
6
0
Yellow cards
1
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 17/10 / 12/5 / 3/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 14,0 % N 23,4 % 2 62,6 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,610 / -0,210 / 0,500
Raw pick Pas de pari
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
vs
Racing Santander Racing Santander
Finished Score: 3 - 2 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 49,0 %
Related odds 1/1
Weighted score 2,707

Rayo Vallecano favorisé par Buts (+1,52).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,61
xG
0,48
16
Shots
9
10
Shots on target
4
Possession
49,0 %
Possession
51,0 %
82,0 %
Completed passes
81,0 %
Discipline
15
Fouls
12
3
Yellow cards
2
2
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 10,00 €
Simulated result +10,00 €
Match ROI +100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 1/1 / 5/2 / 13/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 49,0 % N 27,0 % 2 24,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,080 / -0,080 / -0,230
Raw pick 1
Villarreal Villarreal
vs
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
Finished Score: 2 - 3 View match
N
Engine decision
Footlab decision N
Associated probability 27,8 %
Related odds 14/5
Weighted score 0,795

Match équilibré : Villarreal porté par Potentiel (+1,95), Deportivo La Coruna par Classement (-1,36).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,14
xG
0,79
17
Shots
8
5
Shots on target
3
Possession
62,0 %
Possession
38,0 %
90,0 %
Completed passes
85,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
14
2
Yellow cards
2
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 15,00 €
Simulated result -15,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 31/50 / 14/5 / 17/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 44,1 % N 27,8 % 2 28,2 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,350 / 0,170 / 0,760
Raw pick N
Valencia Valencia
vs
Barcelona Barcelona
Finished Score: 0 - 5 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 74,8 %
Related odds 7/10
Weighted score -19,282

Barcelona favorisé par Buts (-8,37).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,66
xG
4,08
3
Shots
25
2
Shots on target
10
Possession
27,0 %
Possession
73,0 %
73,0 %
Completed passes
92,0 %
Discipline
7
Fouls
6
1
Yellow cards
3
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result +3,50 €
Match ROI +70,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 333/100 / 29/10 / 7/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 7,1 % N 18,1 % 2 74,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,470 / -0,140 / 0,030
Raw pick 2
Malaga Malaga
vs
Levante Levante
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -0,676

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,46
xG
0,81
10
Shots
11
3
Shots on target
3
Possession
63,0 %
Possession
37,0 %
88,0 %
Completed passes
79,0 %
Discipline
15
Fouls
11
4
Yellow cards
2
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 8/5 / 21/10 / 7/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 40,3 % N 28,1 % 2 31,6 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,010 / -0,130 / -0,110
Raw pick Pas de pari
Alaves Alaves
vs
Osasuna Osasuna
Finished Score: 5 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 1,543

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,20
xG
1,64
12
Shots
7
7
Shots on target
5
Possession
50,0 %
Possession
50,0 %
85,0 %
Completed passes
83,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
2
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 32/25 / 21/10 / 23/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 46,0 % N 27,5 % 2 26,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,010 / -0,150 / -0,100
Raw pick Pas de pari
Espanyol Espanyol
vs
Sevilla Sevilla
Finished Score: 1 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 41,5 %
Related odds 2/1
Weighted score -4,621

Sevilla favorisé par Force Dom/Ext (-2,04).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,23
xG
0,53
12
Shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
Possession
56,0 %
Possession
44,0 %
80,0 %
Completed passes
74,0 %
Discipline
17
Fouls
13
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 37/25 / 41/20 / 2/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 30,4 % N 28,0 % 2 41,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,320 / -0,100 / 0,350
Raw pick 2
Getafe Getafe
vs
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
Finished Score: 1 - 1 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 51,5 %
Related odds 7/4
Weighted score 3,695

Getafe favorisé par Force Dom/Ext (+2,72).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,65
xG
1,03
10
Shots
16
2
Shots on target
3
Possession
30,0 %
Possession
70,0 %
67,0 %
Completed passes
85,0 %
Discipline
8
Fouls
9
4
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/4 / 37/20 / 37/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 51,5 % N 26,5 % 2 21,9 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,350 / -0,260 / -0,320
Raw pick 1
Elche Elche
vs
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
Finished Score: 2 - 3 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 44,7 %
Related odds 8/5
Weighted score -5,856

Real Sociedad favorisé par Buts (-4,56).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
20
Shots
13
10
Shots on target
6
Possession
58,0 %
Possession
42,0 %
Discipline
9
Fouls
8
4
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result +8,00 €
Match ROI +160,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 163/100 / 47/20 / 8/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 27,6 % N 27,7 % 2 44,7 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,210 / -0,060 / 0,030
Raw pick 2
Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.
Standings & statistics Compare two teams