0 - 3
Match statistics
57%
Possession
43%
18
Tirs
16
5
Tirs cadres
9
13
Tirs non cadres
7
15
Fautes
11
3
Cartons jaunes
3
0
Cartons rouges
0
1.61
xG
2.63
Match momentum
Probability history
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Comparing both teams across the model’s six axes is part of the full analysis.
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France
2
—
1
Full time
Argentina
France
2
—
1
Full time
Argentina
Team comparator
12
Points
9
2.3
xG
1.4
7
Shots on target
4
57
Control score
43
The value bet detected
Value bet detected
The engine identified :pick — value +:ev%, suggested stake :stake.
Lineups
France
4-3-3
Lineups
4-4-2
Argentina
15
Thuram
20
Coman
18
Zaïre-Emery
22
Martínez
25
Garnacho
18
Palacios
Win probability evolution
France
Draw
Argentina
0'45'90'
Match events
- 23' De Paul
- Mbappé 38'
- Tchouaméni 57'
- 63' Messi
- Thuram 83'
- 90' Otamendi
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Understanding the Footlab analysis of this match
Head-to-head (H2H)
League only (La Liga)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
1-0 |
Elche
|
| 21/12/2025 |
Elche
|
4-0 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
Match timeline
- 10' Carton jaune Javier Morcillo Rodrigálvarez
- 23' Penalty Federico Redondo Solari
- 30' Carton jaune Gonzalo Villar
- 30' Carton jaune Federico Redondo Solari
- 33' VAR penalty Thomas Lemar
- Carton jaune Pathé Ciss 35'
- 36' Penalty Fernando Niño Rodríguez
- Penalty manque Pathé Ciss 39'
- 45' Remplacement Gonzalo Villar -> Facundo Buonanotte
- Remplacement Jorge De Frutos -> Georgiy Tsitaishvili 45'
- Remplacement Sergio Camello -> Alexandre Zurawski 45'
- Carton jaune Adrià Pedrosa 54'
- Remplacement Adrià Pedrosa -> Jozhua Vertrouwd 60'
- Remplacement Pedro Díaz -> Isi Palazón 60'
- 61' Remplacement Fernando Niño Rodríguez -> Abiel Alessio Osorio
- 68' But Germán Valera
- 72' Remplacement Thomas Lemar -> Martim Neto
- 72' Remplacement Lucas Cepeda -> Tete Morente
- Remplacement Ivan Balliu -> Gnangoro Bouare 76'
- Carton jaune Álvaro García 81'
- 83' Remplacement Federico Redondo Solari -> Pedro Bigas
You vs the Footlab model
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The model’s consistency on both teams is part of the full analysis.
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