Ligue 1 analysis

Matchday 5 - Season 2025-26

Analyse chiffrée et probabilités générées par un modèle statistique. Chaque match est décrit par ses données : score pondéré, pick suggéré, cotes et statut (joué ou à venir).

Data-driven model 9 match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J5 Matches: 3 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated decisions 3

Total simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result -13,90 €

Overall ROI -69,5 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Mise fictive 10,00 €

Combined odds (information) 6,29

Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain — Pick 2 — Result 1 (1 - 0)
AS Monaco vs FC Metz — Pick 1 — Result 1 (5 - 2)
RC Lens vs LOSC Lille — Pick 2 — Result 1 (3 - 0)

J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34

J5 / 34

⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière

Olympique Lyonnais

Angers SCO

Terminé On 19 Sep 2025 at 20:45 Score : 1 - 0 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score 1,684

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,80

1,20

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

67,0 %

Possession

33,0 %

90,0 %

Passes reussies

80,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 33/100 / 15/4 / 34/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 51,3 % N 26,6 % 2 22,1 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,320 / 0,260 / 0,720

Raw pick Pas de pari

FC Nantes

Stade Rennais FC

Terminé On 20 Sep 2025 at 17:00 Score : 2 - 2 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -1,578

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,10

1,40

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

43,0 %

Possession

57,0 %

80,0 %

Passes reussies

87,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 23/10 / 23/10 / 21/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 33,4 % N 28,2 % 2 38,3 %

Values 1 / N / 2 0,100 / -0,070 / -0,210

Raw pick Pas de pari

Stade Brestois

OGC Nice

Terminé On 20 Sep 2025 at 19:00 Score : 4 - 1 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score —

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement un vainqueur.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,00

2,30

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

38,0 %

Possession

62,0 %

77,0 %

Passes reussies

88,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 33/20 / 12/5 / 27/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities -

Values 1 / N / 2 — / — / —

RC Lens

LOSC Lille

Terminé On 20 Sep 2025 at 21:05 Score : 3 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 37,2 %

Related odds 17/10

Weighted score -1,372

LOSC Lille favorisé par Potentiel (-0,58).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

3,50

1,90

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

38,0 %

Possession

62,0 %

78,0 %

Passes reussies

83,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result -5,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/5 / 47/20 / 17/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 34,5 % N 28,3 % 2 37,2 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,170 / -0,050 / 0,000

Raw pick 2

Paris FC

RC Strasbourg Alsace

Terminé On 21 Sep 2025 at 15:00 Score : 2 - 3 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -1,269

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,60

2,40

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

61,0 %

Possession

39,0 %

90,0 %

Passes reussies

83,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 27/20 / 12/5 / 8/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 35,1 % N 28,3 % 2 36,7 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,180 / -0,040 / -0,050

Raw pick Pas de pari

AS Monaco

FC Metz

Terminé On 21 Sep 2025 at 17:15 Score : 5 - 2 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 54,0 %

Related odds 11/50

Weighted score 2,185

AS Monaco favorisé par Potentiel (+1,41).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

3,50

2,20

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

43,0 %

Possession

57,0 %

83,0 %

Passes reussies

84,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 5,00 €

Simulated result +1,10 €

Match ROI +22,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/50 / 49/10 / 79/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 54,0 % N 26,0 % 2 20,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,340 / 0,530 / 0,780

Raw pick 1

Le Havre AC

FC Lorient

Terminé On 21 Sep 2025 at 17:15 Score : 1 - 1 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -0,169

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

2,50

1,20

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

60,0 %

Possession

40,0 %

85,0 %

Passes reussies

79,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 6/5 / 23/10 / 39/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 41,1 % N 28,1 % 2 30,9 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,100 / -0,070 / -0,090

Raw pick Pas de pari

AJ Auxerre

Toulouse FC

Terminé On 21 Sep 2025 at 17:15 Score : 1 - 0 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision Aucune décision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -0,572

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

0,80

2,30

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

40,0 %

Possession

60,0 %

76,0 %

Passes reussies

86,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 8/5 / 11/5 / 3/2

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 38,8 % N 28,2 % 2 32,9 %

Values 1 / N / 2 0,010 / -0,100 / -0,180

Raw pick Pas de pari

Olympique de Marseille

Paris Saint-Germain

Terminé On 22 Sep 2025 at 20:00 Score : 1 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 59,7 %

Related odds 91/100

Weighted score -5,528

Paris Saint-Germain favorisé par Potentiel (-4,41).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Offensif

1,40

0,70

Tirs

Tirs cadres

Possession

32,0 %

Possession

68,0 %

79,0 %

Passes reussies

91,0 %

Discipline

Fautes

Cartons jaunes

Cartons rouges

Penalties conc.

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 10,00 €

Simulated result -10,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 47/20 / 11/4 / 91/100

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 15,9 % N 24,3 % 2 59,7 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,470 / -0,090 / 0,140

Raw pick 2

Understanding the Footlab analysis

Full report J5 02/01/2026

Analyse post-match basée sur des simulations et des résultats réels. Aucun conseil, aucune promesse.

Bilan J5

🧾 Bilan Footlab – Journée 5

✅ Matchs bien anticipés

Olympique Lyonnais vs Angers SCO (choix 1, résultat 1)

❌ Matchs ratés

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain (choix 2, résultat 1)

⏸️ Matchs sans décision

AS Monaco vs FC Metz
FC Nantes vs Stade Rennais FC
Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC Nice
Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg Alsace
RC Lens vs LOSC Lille

⚠️ Value élevée échouée

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain (value 0.22)

📊 Lecture globale

Une journée prudente, avec une tentative de value qui n’a pas été récompensée.

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.