Ligue 1 analysis

Matchday 5 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 9 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J5 Matches played and predicted: 5 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated decisions 5

Total simulated amount 65,00 €

Simulated result -24,50 €

Overall ROI -37,7 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €

Combined odds (information) 11,30

Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

AS Monaco vs RC Lens — Pick 1 — Result 1 (2 - 1)
OGC Nice vs LOSC Lille — Pick 2 — Result 1 (2 - 1)
Le Mans vs FC Lorient — Pick 2 — Result 1 (2 - 1)

J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34

J5 / 34

⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière

AS Monaco

RC Lens

Finished On 18 Sep 2026 at 20:45 Score: 2 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 1

Associated probability 73,9 %

Related odds 5/4

Weighted score 13,901

AS Monaco favorisé par Buts (+3,80).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

1,75

1,19

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

50,0 %

Possession

50,0 %

87,0 %

Completed passes

86,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 18,00 €

Simulated result +22,50 €

Match ROI +125,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 5/4 / 13/5 / 9/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 73,9 % N 18,6 % 2 7,5 %

Values 1 / N / 2 0,480 / -0,300 / -0,740

Raw pick 1

Paris FC

RC Strasbourg Alsace

Finished On 19 Sep 2026 at 17:15 Score: 2 - 1 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision No decision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score 3,179

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

1,05

0,24

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

51,0 %

Possession

49,0 %

90,0 %

Completed passes

87,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 21/20 / 27/10 / 23/10

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 50,2 % N 26,8 % 2 23,0 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,020 / 0,010 / -0,140

Raw pick Pas de pari

Angers SCO

Troyes

Finished On 19 Sep 2026 at 20:45 Score: 2 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 40,2 %

Related odds 12/5

Weighted score -4,090

Troyes favorisé par Force Dom/Ext (-2,04).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

2,25

1,02

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

61,0 %

Possession

39,0 %

86,0 %

Completed passes

77,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 20,00 €

Simulated result -20,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 5/4 / 11/5 / 12/5

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 31,7 % N 28,1 % 2 40,2 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,300 / -0,070 / 0,370

Raw pick 2

Olympique Lyonnais

Stade Rennais FC

Finished On 19 Sep 2026 at 20:45 Score: 4 - 0 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision N

Associated probability 28,1 %

Related odds 14/5

Weighted score -0,475

Match équilibré : Olympique Lyonnais porté par Defense (CS) (+1,25), Stade Rennais FC par xG (-1,59).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

3,13

1,37

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

45,0 %

Possession

55,0 %

84,0 %

Completed passes

84,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 2,00 €

Simulated result -2,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 19/20 / 14/5 / 5/2

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 40,8 % N 28,1 % 2 31,1 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,140 / 0,070 / 0,000

Raw pick N

Toulouse FC

Le Havre AC

Finished On 19 Sep 2026 at 20:45 Score: 3 - 2 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision No decision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -6,875

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

1,95

2,34

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

53,0 %

Possession

47,0 %

86,0 %

Completed passes

87,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 4/5 / 5/2 / 7/2

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 25,3 % N 27,3 % 2 47,4 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,540 / -0,020 / 1,130

Raw pick Pas de pari

Le Mans

FC Lorient

Finished On 19 Sep 2026 at 20:45 Score: 2 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 43,3 %

Related odds 29/20

Weighted score -5,294

FC Lorient favorisé par Defense (CS) (-2,49).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

0,92

0,97

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

51,0 %

Possession

49,0 %

81,0 %

Completed passes

82,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 10,00 €

Simulated result -10,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 47/25 / 23/10 / 29/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 28,9 % N 27,9 % 2 43,3 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,210 / -0,080 / 0,120

Raw pick 2

AJ Auxerre

Stade Brestois

Finished On 20 Sep 2026 at 15:00 Score: 2 - 1 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision No decision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -1,869

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

0,96

0,34

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

52,0 %

Possession

48,0 %

81,0 %

Completed passes

79,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/4 / 12/5 / 29/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 37,2 % N 28,3 % 2 34,5 %

Values 1 / N / 2 0,020 / -0,010 / -0,140

Raw pick Pas de pari

OGC Nice

LOSC Lille

Finished On 20 Sep 2026 at 17:15 Score: 2 - 1 View match

Engine decision

Footlab decision 2

Associated probability 57,4 %

Related odds 21/20

Weighted score -10,855

LOSC Lille favorisé par Force Dom/Ext (-2,72).

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

1,50

1,58

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

41,0 %

Possession

59,0 %

86,0 %

Completed passes

87,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulated amount 15,00 €

Simulated result -15,00 €

Match ROI -100,0 %

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 5/2 / 12/5 / 21/20

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 17,6 % N 25,1 % 2 57,4 %

Values 1 / N / 2 -0,340 / -0,120 / 0,150

Raw pick 2

Olympique de Marseille

Paris Saint-Germain

Finished On 20 Sep 2026 at 20:45 Score: 1 - 2 View match

NO BET

Engine decision

Footlab decision No decision

Associated probability —

Related odds —

Weighted score -4,614

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics

Home vs Away

Attacking

Shots

Shots on target

Possession

39,0 %

Possession

61,0 %

Discipline

Fouls

Yellow cards

Red cards

Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers

Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data

Odds 1 / Draw / 2 15/4 / 16/5 / 31/50

1 / N / 2 probabilities

1 30,5 % N 28,0 % 2 41,5 %

Values 1 / N / 2 0,980 / 0,400 / -0,410

Raw pick Pas de pari

Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.

Standings & statistics Compare two teams