Premier League 2026-2027
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Premier League analysis

Matchday 3 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 10 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J3 Matches played and predicted: 2 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 2
Total simulated amount 25,00 €
Simulated result -16,90 €
Overall ROI -67,6 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 3,73
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • Arsenal vs Chelsea — Pick 1 — Result 1 (2 - 1)
  • Newcastle vs Bournemouth — Pick 1 — Result N (2 - 2)
J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34 J35 J36 J37 J38
J3 / 38
⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière
Ipswich Ipswich
vs
Liverpool Liverpool
Finished Score: 0 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -1,013

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,75
xG
0,69
14
Shots
10
5
Shots on target
7
Possession
45,0 %
Possession
55,0 %
83,0 %
Completed passes
89,0 %
Discipline
6
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
3
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 17/4 / 29/10 / 31/50
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 39,4 % N 28,2 % 2 32,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,970 / 0,270 / -0,500
Raw pick Pas de pari
Newcastle Newcastle
vs
Bournemouth Bournemouth
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 58,7 %
Related odds 13/10
Weighted score 6,596

Newcastle favorisé par Defense (CS) (+2,49).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,71
xG
1,37
8
Shots
17
2
Shots on target
5
Possession
58,0 %
Possession
42,0 %
82,0 %
Completed passes
76,0 %
Discipline
19
Fouls
17
2
Yellow cards
3
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 13/10 / 5/2 / 9/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 58,7 % N 24,7 % 2 16,7 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,260 / -0,140 / -0,500
Raw pick 1
Fulham Fulham
vs
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Finished Score: 2 - 3 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 1,542

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
3,14
xG
1,97
25
Shots
10
6
Shots on target
5
Possession
64,0 %
Possession
36,0 %
89,0 %
Completed passes
79,0 %
Discipline
6
Fouls
7
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 6/5 / 12/5 / 11/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 46,0 % N 27,5 % 2 26,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,040 / -0,090 / -0,180
Raw pick Pas de pari
Manchester City Manchester City
vs
Coventry Coventry
Finished Score: 1 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 16,090

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,12
xG
1,37
15
Shots
12
4
Shots on target
3
Possession
78,0 %
Possession
22,0 %
92,0 %
Completed passes
64,0 %
Discipline
7
Fouls
17
1
Yellow cards
2
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 1/5 / 13/2 / 10/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 77,4 % N 16,7 % 2 5,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,090 / 0,340 / -0,360
Raw pick Pas de pari
Brighton Brighton
vs
Leeds Leeds
Finished Score: 1 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 2,707

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,19
xG
2,49
20
Shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
Possession
67,0 %
Possession
33,0 %
84,0 %
Completed passes
68,0 %
Discipline
13
Fouls
16
3
Yellow cards
3
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/10 / 13/5 / 15/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 49,0 % N 27,0 % 2 24,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,070 / -0,050 / -0,070
Raw pick Pas de pari
Brentford Brentford
vs
Sunderland Sunderland
Finished Score: 1 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 8,710

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,21
xG
1,71
12
Shots
14
2
Shots on target
5
Possession
49,0 %
Possession
51,0 %
77,0 %
Completed passes
76,0 %
Discipline
19
Fouls
9
3
Yellow cards
2
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 31/50 / 29/10 / 4/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 63,6 % N 23,0 % 2 13,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,000 / -0,080 / -0,200
Raw pick Pas de pari
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
vs
Tottenham Tottenham
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -0,093

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,92
xG
1,06
12
Shots
11
2
Shots on target
0
Possession
41,0 %
Possession
59,0 %
77,0 %
Completed passes
84,0 %
Discipline
22
Fouls
14
2
Yellow cards
2
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 81/50 / 9/4 / 31/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 41,8 % N 28,0 % 2 30,2 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,000 / -0,050 / -0,180
Raw pick Pas de pari
Hull City Hull City
vs
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 16,715

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,57
xG
1,93
11
Shots
13
4
Shots on target
1
Possession
26,0 %
Possession
74,0 %
73,0 %
Completed passes
90,0 %
Discipline
10
Fouls
5
2
Yellow cards
0
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 15/4 / 29/10 / 67/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 78,4 % N 16,2 % 2 5,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 2,140 / -0,400 / -0,900
Raw pick Pas de pari
Everton Everton
vs
Manchester United Manchester United
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 11,131

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,01
xG
0,69
18
Shots
14
6
Shots on target
3
Possession
45,0 %
Possession
55,0 %
86,0 %
Completed passes
87,0 %
Discipline
7
Fouls
11
3
Yellow cards
3
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/4 / 23/10 / 29/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 68,7 % N 21,0 % 2 10,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 1,130 / -0,270 / -0,780
Raw pick Pas de pari
Arsenal Arsenal
vs
Chelsea Chelsea
Finished Score: 2 - 1 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 61,9 %
Related odds 31/50
Weighted score 7,962

Arsenal favorisé par Defense (CS) (+4,98).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,05
xG
0,39
16
Shots
13
9
Shots on target
5
Possession
55,0 %
Possession
45,0 %
85,0 %
Completed passes
82,0 %
Discipline
13
Fouls
16
2
Yellow cards
4
Period: J3 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result +3,10 €
Match ROI +62,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 31/50 / 11/4 / 17/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 61,9 % N 23,6 % 2 14,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,020 / -0,110 / -0,280
Raw pick 1
Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.
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