Premier League 2026-2027
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Premier League analysis

Matchday 4 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 10 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J4 Matches played and predicted: 4 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 4
Total simulated amount 55,00 €
Simulated result -44,50 €
Overall ROI -80,9 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 18,71
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • Leeds vs Newcastle — Pick 2 — Result 1 (4 - 1)
  • Manchester United vs Manchester City — Pick 2 — Result 2 (0 - 1)
  • Tottenham vs Everton — Pick 2 — Result N (0 - 0)
J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34 J35 J36 J37 J38
J4 / 38
⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière
Bournemouth Bournemouth
vs
Brentford Brentford
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 40,1 %
Related odds 7/4
Weighted score -4,075

Brentford favorisé par Defense (CS) (-1,66).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
20
Shots
8
10
Shots on target
2
Possession
56,0 %
Possession
44,0 %
Discipline
10
Fouls
13
5
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 10,00 €
Simulated result -10,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 27/20 / 12/5 / 7/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 31,7 % N 28,2 % 2 40,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,210 / 0,010 / 0,080
Raw pick 2
Liverpool Liverpool
vs
Fulham Fulham
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 9,566

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
14
Shots
10
3
Shots on target
4
Possession
56,0 %
Possession
44,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
8
0
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 21/50 / 7/2 / 11/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 65,4 % N 22,3 % 2 12,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,050 / 0,120 / -0,270
Raw pick Pas de pari
Chelsea Chelsea
vs
Hull City Hull City
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -3,003

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
12
Shots
14
7
Shots on target
5
Possession
68,0 %
Possession
32,0 %
Discipline
7
Fouls
12
1
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 9/50 / 5/1 / 12/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 34,4 % N 28,3 % 2 37,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,580 / 0,840 / 3,110
Raw pick Pas de pari
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
vs
Ipswich Ipswich
Finished Score: 2 - 3 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 1,477

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
11
Shots
12
4
Shots on target
6
Possession
46,0 %
Possession
54,0 %
Discipline
6
Fouls
16
1
Yellow cards
3
1
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 73/100 / 5/2 / 7/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 45,8 % N 27,6 % 2 26,6 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,150 / 0,050 / 0,040
Raw pick Pas de pari
Aston Villa Aston Villa
vs
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
Finished Score: 1 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -0,934

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
7
Shots
22
5
Shots on target
7
Possession
53,0 %
Possession
47,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
16
2
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 4/5 / 5/2 / 333/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 39,6 % N 28,2 % 2 32,2 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,130 / -0,040 / 0,050
Raw pick Pas de pari
Tottenham Tottenham
vs
Everton Everton
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 40,4 %
Related odds 23/10
Weighted score -4,190

Everton favorisé par Buts (-3,04).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
14
Shots
12
2
Shots on target
3
Possession
62,0 %
Possession
38,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
8
0
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/10 / 23/10 / 23/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 31,5 % N 28,1 % 2 40,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,370 / 0,010 / 0,450
Raw pick 2
Sunderland Sunderland
vs
Arsenal Arsenal
Finished Score: 0 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -8,666

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
12
Shots
11
3
Shots on target
5
Possession
42,0 %
Possession
58,0 %
Discipline
18
Fouls
11
4
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 21/4 / 29/10 / 1/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 21,6 % N 26,4 % 2 52,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,620 / 0,080 / -0,230
Raw pick Pas de pari
Coventry Coventry
vs
Brighton Brighton
Finished Score: 0 - 5 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -6,435

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,33
xG
2,81
14
Shots
22
6
Shots on target
7
Possession
31,0 %
Possession
69,0 %
70,0 %
Completed passes
90,0 %
Discipline
9
Fouls
15
1
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 333/100 / 27/10 / 73/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 26,3 % N 27,5 % 2 46,2 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,100 / 0,020 / -0,190
Raw pick Pas de pari
Manchester United Manchester United
vs
Manchester City Manchester City
Finished Score: 0 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 48,1 %
Related odds 11/10
Weighted score -7,148

Manchester City favorisé par Classement (-2,27).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,00
xG
1,10
16
Shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
Possession
55,0 %
Possession
45,0 %
87,0 %
Completed passes
82,0 %
Discipline
17
Fouls
10
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result +5,50 €
Match ROI +110,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 21/10 / 13/5 / 11/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 24,7 % N 27,2 % 2 48,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,230 / -0,020 / 0,010
Raw pick 2
Leeds Leeds
vs
Newcastle Newcastle
Finished Score: 4 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 50,4 %
Related odds 17/10
Weighted score -8,037

Newcastle favorisé par Buts (-3,04).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
14
Shots
7
6
Shots on target
5
Possession
51,0 %
Possession
49,0 %
Discipline
8
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
0
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 29/20 / 12/5 / 17/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 22,9 % N 26,8 % 2 50,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,460 / -0,060 / 0,460
Raw pick 2
Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.
Standings & statistics Compare two teams