Premier League 2026-2027
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Premier League analysis

Matchday 5 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 10 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J5 Matches played and predicted: 3 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 3
Total simulated amount 25,00 €
Simulated result +6,50 €
Overall ROI +26,0 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 15,44
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • Leeds vs Crystal Palace — Pick 1 — Result N (0 - 0)
  • Bournemouth vs Liverpool — Pick 2 — Result 2 (0 - 1)
  • Brentford vs Chelsea — Pick N — Result 1 (3 - 0)
J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34 J35 J36 J37 J38
J5 / 38
⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière
Brentford Brentford
vs
Chelsea Chelsea
Finished Score: 3 - 0 View match
N
Engine decision
Footlab decision N
Associated probability 28,1 %
Related odds 5/2
Weighted score -0,209

Match équilibré : Brentford porté par Buts (+2,28), Chelsea par Potentiel (-2,81).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,65
xG
0,83
13
Shots
12
6
Shots on target
2
Possession
40,0 %
Possession
60,0 %
79,0 %
Completed passes
87,0 %
Discipline
10
Fouls
7
2
Yellow cards
0
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result -5,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 8/5 / 5/2 / 3/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 41,5 % N 28,1 % 2 30,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,190 / 0,040 / -0,300
Raw pick N
Tottenham Tottenham
vs
Aston Villa Aston Villa
Finished Score: 2 - 3 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 2,652

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,56
xG
1,16
20
Shots
15
7
Shots on target
6
Possession
64,0 %
Possession
36,0 %
87,0 %
Completed passes
83,0 %
Discipline
9
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
2
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 6/5 / 23/10 / 11/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 48,9 % N 27,1 % 2 24,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,050 / -0,030 / -0,090
Raw pick Pas de pari
Newcastle Newcastle
vs
Hull City Hull City
Finished Score: 2 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -2,748

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,44
xG
1,59
12
Shots
22
5
Shots on target
4
Possession
56,0 %
Possession
44,0 %
88,0 %
Completed passes
79,0 %
Discipline
4
Fouls
10
1
Yellow cards
4
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 9/25 / 15/4 / 11/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 35,0 % N 28,3 % 2 36,7 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,440 / 0,220 / 0,840
Raw pick Pas de pari
Everton Everton
vs
Ipswich Ipswich
Finished Score: 1 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 6,134

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,24
xG
1,44
21
Shots
13
2
Shots on target
4
Possession
52,0 %
Possession
48,0 %
84,0 %
Completed passes
82,0 %
Discipline
6
Fouls
12
2
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 13/20 / 27/10 / 15/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 57,6 % N 25,0 % 2 17,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,000 / -0,050 / -0,220
Raw pick Pas de pari
Brighton Brighton
vs
Arsenal Arsenal
Finished Score: 3 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -7,146

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,31
xG
1,63
17
Shots
11
5
Shots on target
2
Possession
40,0 %
Possession
60,0 %
76,0 %
Completed passes
85,0 %
Discipline
13
Fouls
11
4
Yellow cards
1
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 333/100 / 13/5 / 3/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 24,7 % N 27,2 % 2 48,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,180 / 0,090 / -0,180
Raw pick Pas de pari
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
vs
Coventry Coventry
Finished Score: 0 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 5,899

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,10
xG
0,67
24
Shots
10
3
Shots on target
3
Possession
62,0 %
Possession
38,0 %
84,0 %
Completed passes
76,0 %
Discipline
12
Fouls
10
2
Yellow cards
0
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 3/4 / 27/10 / 7/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 57,0 % N 25,2 % 2 17,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,080 / 0,010 / -0,060
Raw pick Pas de pari
Manchester City Manchester City
vs
Sunderland Sunderland
Finished Score: 5 - 3 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 14,127

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,82
xG
3,57
16
Shots
17
6
Shots on target
9
Possession
55,0 %
Possession
45,0 %
85,0 %
Completed passes
81,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
14
0
Yellow cards
1
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 1/4 / 17/4 / 9/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 74,3 % N 18,4 % 2 7,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,050 / 0,060 / -0,270
Raw pick Pas de pari
Leeds Leeds
vs
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 57,8 %
Related odds 11/10
Weighted score 6,215

Leeds favorisé par Buts (+3,04).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,31
xG
1,06
13
Shots
12
2
Shots on target
4
Possession
51,0 %
Possession
49,0 %
80,0 %
Completed passes
80,0 %
Discipline
10
Fouls
12
2
Yellow cards
3
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result -5,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/10 / 12/5 / 9/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 57,8 % N 24,9 % 2 17,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,040 / -0,050 / -0,250
Raw pick 1
Bournemouth Bournemouth
vs
Liverpool Liverpool
Finished Score: 0 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 55,5 %
Related odds 11/10
Weighted score -10,063

Liverpool favorisé par Defense (CS) (-2,49).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,79
xG
1,65
9
Shots
12
2
Shots on target
3
Possession
46,0 %
Possession
54,0 %
78,0 %
Completed passes
82,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
2
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 15,00 €
Simulated result +16,50 €
Match ROI +110,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 2/1 / 13/5 / 11/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 19,0 % N 25,6 % 2 55,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,410 / -0,030 / 0,190
Raw pick 2
Fulham Fulham
vs
Manchester United Manchester United
Finished Score: 1 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -3,383

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,62
xG
1,60
12
Shots
29
6
Shots on target
6
Possession
42,0 %
Possession
58,0 %
88,0 %
Completed passes
90,0 %
Discipline
9
Fouls
5
3
Yellow cards
0
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 13/5 / 27/10 / 91/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 33,4 % N 28,2 % 2 38,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,200 / 0,070 / -0,250
Raw pick Pas de pari
Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.
Standings & statistics Compare two teams