Primeira Liga 2026-2027
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Primeira Liga analysis

Matchday 1 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 9 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J1 Matches played and predicted: 6 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 6
Total simulated amount 15,00 €
Simulated result -7,88 €
Overall ROI -52,5 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 5,20
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • FC Porto vs Alverca — Pick 1 — Result 1 (2 - 0)
  • Guimaraes vs Arouca — Pick 1 — Result 2 (0 - 1)
  • Maritimo vs Casa Pia — Pick 1 — Result 1 (1 - 0)
J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34
J1 / 34
⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière
Estoril Estoril
vs
Famalicao Famalicao
Finished Score: 1 - 1 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 42,7 %
Related odds 9/5
Weighted score 0,645

Estoril favorisé par Avantage Forme Specifique (+1,62).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,99
xG
1,43
14
Shots
6
3
Shots on target
2
Possession
50,0 %
Possession
50,0 %
84,0 %
Completed passes
84,0 %
Discipline
12
Fouls
13
1
Yellow cards
2
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 5,00 €
Simulated result -5,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 9/5 / 23/10 / 29/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 42,7 % N 27,9 % 2 29,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,200 / -0,080 / -0,280
Raw pick 1
Maritimo Maritimo
vs
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Finished Score: 1 - 0 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 43,2 %
Related odds 69/50
Weighted score 1,057

Maritimo favorisé par Avantage Forme Specifique (+1,62).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,25
xG
0,61
16
Shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
Possession
39,0 %
Possession
61,0 %
78,0 %
Completed passes
89,0 %
Discipline
17
Fouls
13
2
Yellow cards
2
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 2,00 €
Simulated result +2,76 €
Match ROI +138,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 69/50 / 5/2 / 9/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 43,2 % N 27,9 % 2 29,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,030 / -0,020 / -0,190
Raw pick 1
Guimaraes Guimaraes
vs
Arouca Arouca
Finished Score: 0 - 1 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 47,2 %
Related odds 17/20
Weighted score 4,689

Guimaraes favorisé par Avantage Forme Specifique (+3,23).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,22
xG
0,49
24
Shots
4
3
Shots on target
2
Possession
58,0 %
Possession
42,0 %
87,0 %
Completed passes
79,0 %
Discipline
9
Fouls
7
2
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
1
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 2,00 €
Simulated result -2,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 17/20 / 5/2 / 16/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 47,2 % N 27,3 % 2 25,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,130 / -0,040 / 0,070
Raw pick 1
Estrela Estrela
vs
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -2,195

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,01
xG
2,63
9
Shots
15
4
Shots on target
8
Possession
44,0 %
Possession
56,0 %
80,0 %
Completed passes
88,0 %
Discipline
13
Fouls
14
2
Yellow cards
2
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/1 / 19/4 / 1/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 39,6 % N 28,2 % 2 32,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 3,750 / 0,620 / -0,600
Raw pick Pas de pari
FC Porto FC Porto
vs
Alverca Alverca
Finished Score: 2 - 0 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 47,6 %
Related odds 9/50
Weighted score 5,068

FC Porto favorisé par Potentiel (+5,52).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,59
xG
1,64
10
Shots
15
4
Shots on target
5
Possession
54,0 %
Possession
46,0 %
86,0 %
Completed passes
80,0 %
Discipline
13
Fouls
9
0
Yellow cards
4
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 2,00 €
Simulated result +0,36 €
Match ROI +18,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 9/50 / 11/2 / 14/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 47,6 % N 27,3 % 2 25,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,440 / 0,770 / 2,770
Raw pick 1
Benfica Benfica
vs
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 30,9 %
Related odds 20/1
Weighted score -0,847

Academico Viseu favorisé par Avantage Forme Specifique (-7,00).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
3,05
xG
1,18
28
Shots
8
11
Shots on target
4
Possession
62,0 %
Possession
38,0 %
87,0 %
Completed passes
82,0 %
Discipline
13
Fouls
13
2
Yellow cards
4
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 2,00 €
Simulated result -2,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 3/25 / 8/1 / 20/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 41,1 % N 28,1 % 2 30,9 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,540 / 1,530 / 5,480
Raw pick 2
Moreirense Moreirense
vs
SC Braga SC Braga
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 33,1 %
Related odds 7/10
Weighted score -3,039

SC Braga favorisé par Potentiel (-2,16).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,21
xG
0,94
7
Shots
12
3
Shots on target
4
Possession
36,0 %
Possession
64,0 %
75,0 %
Completed passes
84,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
20
4
Yellow cards
1
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 2,00 €
Simulated result -2,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 4/1 / 13/5 / 7/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 38,7 % N 28,2 % 2 33,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,930 / 0,020 / -0,440
Raw pick 2
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
vs
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Finished Score: 1 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 0,217

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,48
xG
0,31
12
Shots
6
4
Shots on target
2
Possession
64,0 %
Possession
36,0 %
88,0 %
Completed passes
77,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
8
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 19/20 / 5/2 / 14/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 42,2 % N 28,0 % 2 29,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,180 / -0,020 / 0,130
Raw pick Pas de pari
Santa Clara Santa Clara
vs
Nacional Nacional
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 0,656

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,40
xG
1,23
19
Shots
10
7
Shots on target
4
Possession
52,0 %
Possession
48,0 %
82,0 %
Completed passes
80,0 %
Discipline
15
Fouls
15
2
Yellow cards
2
Period: J1 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 91/100 / 9/4 / 16/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 42,7 % N 27,9 % 2 29,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,180 / -0,090 / 0,230
Raw pick Pas de pari
Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.
Standings & statistics Compare two teams