Group B World Cup 2026: Canada, Switzerland, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Qatar — the Footlab data breakdown
Canada enters the 2026 World Cup as a co-host nation with home support at Toronto — a detail the betting markets have clearly priced in. The odds on Canada beating Bosnia-Herzegovina sit around 1.81 on major bookmakers, implying roughly a 55% probability. But does the Footlab Elo model back that number up? Canada's Elo rating stands at 1561 versus 1413 for Bosnia-Herzegovina — a gap of 153 points in Canada's favour. Switzerland, however, tops Group B at 1610, making this a three-tier group rather than a straight two-horse race. Here is what the Footlab data measures ahead of kick-off.
Group B Elo ratings and FIFA rankings — the data picture
| Team | Footlab Elo | FIFA Rank | Elo Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 1610 | #14 | 0.48 |
| Canada | 1561 | #30 | -1.56 |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | 1413 | #61 | 1.43 |
| Qatar | 1483 | #59 | -1.16 |
Switzerland leads Group B on Footlab's Elo model. Canada sits second with a slightly negative recent delta (-1.56), indicating a marginal dip in form over recent fixtures. Bosnia-Herzegovina and Qatar both trail the top two by a significant Elo margin, with Qatar's negative trend (-1.16) adding further downside risk.