Group B World Cup 2026: Canada, Switzerland, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Qatar — the Footlab data breakdown
Canada enters the 2026 World Cup as a co-host nation with home support at Toronto — a detail the betting markets have clearly priced in. The odds on Canada beating Bosnia-Herzegovina sit around 1.81 on major bookmakers, implying roughly a 55% probability. But does the Footlab Elo model back that number up? Canada's Elo rating stands at 1568 versus 1433 for Bosnia-Herzegovina — a gap of 153 points in Canada's favour. Switzerland, however, tops Group B at 1622, making this a three-tier group rather than a straight two-horse race. Here is what the Footlab data measures ahead of kick-off.
Group B Elo ratings and FIFA rankings — the data picture
| Team | Footlab Elo | FIFA Rank | Elo Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | 1622 | #12 | 0.47 |
| Canada | 1568 | #27 | -1.56 |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | 1433 | #57 | 1.38 |
| Qatar | 1479 | #60 | -1.16 |
Switzerland leads Group B on Footlab's Elo model. Canada sits second with a slightly negative recent delta (-1.56), indicating a marginal dip in form over recent fixtures. Bosnia-Herzegovina and Qatar both trail the top two by a significant Elo margin, with Qatar's negative trend (-1.16) adding further downside risk.