Colombia vs Jordan (Jun 8, 1AM): Group K World Cup 2026 Data Preview
Portugal's Footlab ELO rating stands at 1723 — but in World Cup 2026 Group K, Colombia could be the side to disrupt the hierarchy. In the early hours of June 8 (1:00 AM), Colombia face Jordan in a crucial pre-tournament friendly, their final test before entering a group that includes Portugal (FIFA #5), Uzbekistan and DR Congo. This Group K preview leverages Footlab's proprietary ELO engine to surface probabilities that bookmaker odds simply don't reflect.
World Cup 2026 Group K: four teams, one data picture
The 2026 FIFA World Cup features 48 teams across 12 groups of 4. Group K looks straightforward on FIFA rankings alone — but Footlab's ELO model, updated to June 7, 2026, tells a more nuanced story. The table below uses Footlab proprietary data exclusively.
| Team | FIFA Rank | Footlab ELO | ELO Δ (trend) | Est. Qualification Prob. (top 2)* |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | 5 | 1723 | 2.59 | ~82% |
| Colombia | 11 | 1640 | 4.06 | ~55% |
| Uzbekistan | 59 | 1523 | -5.23 | ~38% |
| DR Congo | 40 | 1527 | -6.70 | ~25% |
*Estimated probabilities from the Footlab model — for informational purposes only. At WC 2026, the top 2 from each group qualify directly, plus the 8 best third-placed teams across all 12 groups.