Group C World Cup 2026: What the Footlab Data Says About Brazil, Morocco, Scotland and Haiti
Brazil arrive at the 2026 World Cup with a Footlab Elo rating of 1646 — 13th among the 48 qualified nations according to our internal engine. For a side that bookmakers habitually rank among the top two or three favourites, that number deserves scrutiny. Morocco sit at 1721, the fourth-highest Elo in the entire tournament. Group C is not the straightforward group the outright market implies. The Footlab engine calculates match-level probabilities and expected value (EV) figures: here is what the data shows.
Group C at a Glance: Ratings, Rankings and Momentum
| Team | Footlab Elo | FIFA Rank | Elo Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil | 1646 | #6 | 5.73 |
| Morocco | 1721 | #7 | -1.21 |
| Scotland | 1501 | #43 | 3.53 |
| Haiti | 1434 | #84 | -6.42 |
The Elo gap between Morocco (1721) and Haiti (1434) exceeds 280 points on our model — one of the widest margins between any two teams in the same group across the 2026 draw. Scotland sit third at 1501 with a rising trend (+3.53 from their last fixture), but still trail Brazil by more than 155 Elo points. Haiti's trend (-6.42) is the sharpest decline in the group, a signal the Footlab engine feeds directly into its qualification probability calculations.