Group L World Cup 2026: What Footlab's Elo Model Shows on England, Croatia, Ghana and Panama
England head into the 2026 World Cup with a Footlab Elo rating of 1715 — 5th among all 48 qualified nations — and a momentum delta of +3.64 from their last fixture. The bookmaker markets on "Group L winner" don't fully price in the Elo gap between England and their group opponents. Croatia, sitting at 1648 with a rising trend of +3.69, represent the most credible challenger — and potentially the sharpest value line before matchday 1.