World Cup 2026 Group G: Belgium Favoured, But Egypt and Iran Push Back
Belgium enters the 2026 World Cup with a Footlab Elo rating of 1645 — ranked #8 by FIFA — yet Group G offers no straightforward path to the knockout stage. Egypt carries a recent Elo delta of -5.73, a downward trend the model tracks closely. Iran arrives in better shape (+3.23 on the last match), sitting at an Elo of 1613 that most bookmakers' odds fail to fully reflect. New Zealand closes the group at 1489 Elo but cannot simply be written off without checking the numbers. This Group G breakdown runs the data before you look at the betting markets.