World Cup 2026 Data Analysis: How Footlab Calculates Qualification Probabilities Group by Group
Brazil draw 1-1 with Morocco on matchday one, Qatar equalise against Switzerland — and bookmaker odds barely move. The Footlab Elo engine, meanwhile, recalculates qualification probabilities for all 48 teams across 12 groups the moment the final whistle sounds. That gap between market reaction and model output is where data-driven bettors find their edge. Before breaking down individual groups, understanding how the Footlab engine works is essential for reading the probabilities correctly.