Primeira Liga 2026-2027
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Primeira Liga analysis

Matchday 4 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 9 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J4 Matches played and predicted: 4 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 4
Total simulated amount 60,00 €
Simulated result +38,60 €
Overall ROI +64,3 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 12,92
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • Arouca vs Maritimo — Pick 1 — Result 1 (2 - 1)
  • Nacional vs Estrela — Pick 1 — Result 2 (2 - 3)
  • Alverca vs Santa Clara — Pick 2 — Result N (1 - 1)
J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34
J4 / 34
⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière
Rio Ave Rio Ave
vs
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Finished Score: 0 - 4 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -5,338

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,50
xG
1,40
6
Shots
11
0
Shots on target
5
Possession
39,0 %
Possession
61,0 %
85,0 %
Completed passes
90,0 %
Discipline
7
Fouls
14
1
Yellow cards
1
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 723/100 / 122/25 / 31/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 28,8 % N 27,9 % 2 43,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 1,300 / 0,390 / -0,420
Raw pick Pas de pari
Arouca Arouca
vs
Maritimo Maritimo
Finished Score: 2 - 1 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 59,4 %
Related odds 69/50
Weighted score 6,879

Arouca favorisé par Buts (+4,56).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,65
xG
0,67
17
Shots
12
7
Shots on target
4
Possession
52,0 %
Possession
48,0 %
85,0 %
Completed passes
82,0 %
Discipline
8
Fouls
9
2
Yellow cards
1
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result +27,60 €
Match ROI +138,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 69/50 / 11/5 / 19/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 59,4 % N 24,5 % 2 16,2 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,410 / -0,220 / -0,530
Raw pick 1
Alverca Alverca
vs
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Finished Score: 1 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 41,3 %
Related odds 34/25
Weighted score -4,538

Santa Clara favorisé par Defense (CS) (-3,32).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,41
xG
1,41
5
Shots
15
1
Shots on target
3
Possession
50,0 %
Possession
50,0 %
79,0 %
Completed passes
74,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
9
1
Yellow cards
2
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 10,00 €
Simulated result -10,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 227/100 / 53/25 / 34/25
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 30,6 % N 28,1 % 2 41,3 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,170 / -0,100 / 0,070
Raw pick 2
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
vs
FC Porto FC Porto
Finished Score: 0 - 3 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -13,114

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,80
xG
1,47
9
Shots
5
1
Shots on target
4
Possession
57,0 %
Possession
43,0 %
86,0 %
Completed passes
84,0 %
Discipline
13
Fouls
19
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/1 / 4/1 / 33/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 15,0 % N 25,0 % 2 60,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,120 / 0,170 / -0,170
Raw pick Pas de pari
Nacional Nacional
vs
Estrela Estrela
Finished Score: 2 - 3 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 52,0 %
Related odds 13/10
Weighted score 3,896

Nacional favorisé par Buts (+3,04).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,83
xG
1,85
10
Shots
13
5
Shots on target
4
Possession
50,0 %
Possession
50,0 %
82,0 %
Completed passes
83,0 %
Discipline
12
Fouls
9
2
Yellow cards
1
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 15,00 €
Simulated result -15,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 13/10 / 11/5 / 21/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 52,0 % N 26,4 % 2 21,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,200 / -0,150 / -0,330
Raw pick 1
Casa Pia Casa Pia
vs
Moreirense Moreirense
Finished Score: 0 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 35,0 %
Related odds 12/5
Weighted score -2,070

Moreirense favorisé par Buts (-4,56).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,69
xG
0,28
11
Shots
6
2
Shots on target
5
Possession
62,0 %
Possession
38,0 %
80,0 %
Completed passes
61,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
17
1
Yellow cards
3
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 15,00 €
Simulated result +36,00 €
Match ROI +240,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/10 / 11/5 / 12/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 36,7 % N 28,3 % 2 35,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,230 / -0,100 / 0,190
Raw pick 2
Famalicao Famalicao
vs
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -3,416

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,21
xG
0,25
6
Shots
6
1
Shots on target
1
Possession
56,0 %
Possession
44,0 %
86,0 %
Completed passes
83,0 %
Discipline
10
Fouls
18
2
Yellow cards
4
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 19/20 / 9/4 / 3/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 33,3 % N 28,2 % 2 38,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,350 / -0,080 / 0,540
Raw pick Pas de pari
Benfica Benfica
vs
Estoril Estoril
Finished Score: 2 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 10,744

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,03
xG
0,36
25
Shots
4
8
Shots on target
2
Possession
67,0 %
Possession
33,0 %
89,0 %
Completed passes
74,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
12
0
Yellow cards
1
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/50 / 7/1 / 16/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 67,9 % N 21,3 % 2 10,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,230 / 0,710 / 0,830
Raw pick Pas de pari
SC Braga SC Braga
vs
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Finished Score: 1 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 2,917

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,83
xG
0,23
9
Shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
Possession
55,0 %
Possession
45,0 %
81,0 %
Completed passes
75,0 %
Discipline
12
Fouls
16
2
Yellow cards
3
Period: J4 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 73/100 / 13/5 / 7/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 49,6 % N 26,9 % 2 23,5 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,140 / -0,030 / 0,060
Raw pick Pas de pari
Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.
Standings & statistics Compare two teams