Primeira Liga 2026-2027
Access full analyses
Primeira Liga League Access : Visitor Change plan
Primeira Liga analysis

Matchday 5 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 9 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J5 Matches played and predicted: 2 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 2
Total simulated amount 40,00 €
Simulated result -40,00 €
Overall ROI -100,0 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 5,76
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu — Pick 1 — Result 2 (0 - 1)
  • Estrela vs Famalicao — Pick 1 — Result N (2 - 2)
J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34
J5 / 34
⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière
FC Porto FC Porto
vs
Moreirense Moreirense
Finished Score: 2 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 17,696

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,90
xG
0,85
23
Shots
7
9
Shots on target
2
Possession
70,0 %
Possession
30,0 %
86,0 %
Completed passes
69,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
12
1
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 17/100 / 6/1 / 14/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 79,8 % N 15,4 % 2 4,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,040 / -0,110 / -0,380
Raw pick Pas de pari
Estrela Estrela
vs
Famalicao Famalicao
Finished Score: 2 - 2 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 47,6 %
Related odds 11/5
Weighted score 2,156

Estrela favorisé par Classement (+1,59).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,94
xG
1,80
14
Shots
14
4
Shots on target
4
Possession
41,0 %
Possession
59,0 %
81,0 %
Completed passes
85,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
9
3
Yellow cards
2
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 11/5 / 43/20 / 13/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 47,6 % N 27,3 % 2 25,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,430 / -0,130 / -0,400
Raw pick 1
Maritimo Maritimo
vs
Benfica Benfica
Finished Score: 0 - 3 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -16,689

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,12
xG
1,31
6
Shots
11
1
Shots on target
6
Possession
40,0 %
Possession
60,0 %
76,0 %
Completed passes
85,0 %
Discipline
22
Fouls
14
2
Yellow cards
3
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 17/2 / 43/10 / 3/10
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 12,7 % N 27,3 % 2 60,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,050 / 0,120 / -0,120
Raw pick Pas de pari
Alverca Alverca
vs
SC Braga SC Braga
Finished Score: 1 - 2 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -8,200

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,08
xG
2,27
6
Shots
16
2
Shots on target
6
Possession
32,0 %
Possession
68,0 %
72,0 %
Completed passes
89,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
15
1
Yellow cards
4
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 31/10 / 12/5 / 17/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 22,6 % N 26,7 % 2 50,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,080 / -0,090 / -0,060
Raw pick Pas de pari
Sporting CP Sporting CP
vs
Nacional Nacional
Finished Score: 2 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 14,580

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
3,00
xG
0,08
19
Shots
3
8
Shots on target
2
Possession
67,0 %
Possession
33,0 %
89,0 %
Completed passes
80,0 %
Discipline
10
Fouls
7
2
Yellow cards
1
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 19/100 / 11/2 / 13/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 75,0 % N 18,0 % 2 7,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,110 / 0,170 / -0,100
Raw pick Pas de pari
Santa Clara Santa Clara
vs
Rio Ave Rio Ave
Finished Score: 4 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 2,626

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,80
xG
0,32
16
Shots
5
6
Shots on target
3
Possession
59,0 %
Possession
41,0 %
89,0 %
Completed passes
85,0 %
Discipline
12
Fouls
9
1
Yellow cards
1
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 1/1 / 9/4 / 57/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 48,8 % N 27,1 % 2 24,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,120 / -0,110 / 0,090
Raw pick Pas de pari
Guimaraes Guimaraes
vs
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 5,301

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,48
xG
0,21
29
Shots
7
8
Shots on target
3
Possession
74,0 %
Possession
26,0 %
83,0 %
Completed passes
56,0 %
Discipline
16
Fouls
6
2
Yellow cards
2
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 17/25 / 27/10 / 4/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 55,6 % N 25,6 % 2 18,9 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,130 / -0,040 / 0,090
Raw pick Pas de pari
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
vs
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
Finished Score: 0 - 1 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 70,4 %
Related odds 4/5
Weighted score 11,997

GIL Vicente favorisé par Defense (CS) (+4,98).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,88
xG
0,33
33
Shots
6
7
Shots on target
1
Possession
61,0 %
Possession
39,0 %
89,0 %
Completed passes
80,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
13
0
Yellow cards
2
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 20,00 €
Simulated result -20,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 4/5 / 13/5 / 16/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 70,4 % N 20,3 % 2 9,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,270 / -0,270 / -0,610
Raw pick 1
Estoril Estoril
vs
Arouca Arouca
Finished Score: 0 - 0 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -8,599

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,86
xG
1,07
18
Shots
12
8
Shots on target
2
Possession
47,0 %
Possession
53,0 %
80,0 %
Completed passes
85,0 %
Discipline
12
Fouls
9
4
Yellow cards
1
Period: J5 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 27/25 / 49/20 / 12/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 21,8 % N 26,5 % 2 51,8 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,530 / -0,130 / 0,710
Raw pick Pas de pari
Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.
Standings & statistics Compare two teams