Primeira Liga 2026-2027
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Primeira Liga analysis

Matchday 6 - Season 2026-27

Quantified analysis and probabilities generated by the Footlab engine.

Data-driven model 9 Match(es) Updated matchday after matchday.

Matchday summary

Period: J6 Matches played and predicted: 6 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated decisions 6
Total simulated amount 83,00 €
Simulated result -47,95 €
Overall ROI -57,8 %

Calculated from simulated decisions and associated odds.

Editorial combo — outside Footlab engine

Editorial selection offered for educational purposes only. No betting advice.
The amounts shown illustrate a one-off example with a simulated stake.

Simulated stake 10,00 €
Combined odds (information) 3,52
Indicative result -10,00 €

Results recap

  • Casa Pia vs FC Porto — Pick 2 — Result 2 (1 - 4)
  • SC Braga vs Estoril — Pick 1 — Result 1 (1 - 0)
  • Famalicao vs Sporting CP — Pick 2 — Result N (1 - 1)
J1 J2 J3 J4 J5 J6 J7 J8 J9 J10 J11 J12 J13 J14 J15 J16 J17 J18 J19 J20 J21 J22 J23 J24 J25 J26 J27 J28 J29 J30 J31 J32 J33 J34
J6 / 34
⏪ Première 🔴 Actuelle ⏩ Dernière
Nacional Nacional
vs
Alverca Alverca
Finished Score: 1 - 3 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 6,772

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
13
Shots
10
3
Shots on target
7
Possession
57,0 %
Possession
43,0 %
Discipline
7
Fouls
16
0
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 173/100 / 23/10 / 41/25
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 59,1 % N 24,5 % 2 16,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,550 / -0,200 / -0,550
Raw pick Pas de pari
Casa Pia Casa Pia
vs
FC Porto FC Porto
Finished Score: 1 - 4 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 82,7 %
Related odds 29/100
Weighted score -24,733

FC Porto favorisé par Buts (-9,89).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
15
Shots
17
5
Shots on target
4
Possession
38,0 %
Possession
62,0 %
Discipline
13
Fouls
10
4
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
0
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 15,00 €
Simulated result +4,35 €
Match ROI +29,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 467/50 / 223/50 / 29/100
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 3,6 % N 13,7 % 2 82,7 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,640 / -0,180 / 0,030
Raw pick 2
Academico Viseu Academico Viseu
vs
Guimaraes Guimaraes
Finished Score: 2 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score -3,809

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
11
Shots
22
4
Shots on target
7
Possession
46,0 %
Possession
54,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
11
4
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
1
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 21/10 / 11/5 / 5/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 32,4 % N 28,2 % 2 39,4 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,200 / -0,040 / -0,190
Raw pick Pas de pari
Benfica Benfica
vs
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
Finished Score: 3 - 1 View match
NO BET
Engine decision
Footlab decision No decision
Associated probability —
Related odds —
Weighted score 8,263

Pas de pari : le moteur ne distingue pas assez nettement le résultat.

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,90
xG
1,11
17
Shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
Possession
64,0 %
Possession
36,0 %
88,0 %
Completed passes
79,0 %
Discipline
11
Fouls
18
2
Yellow cards
3
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation

Simulation unavailable.

Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/50 / 13/2 / 16/1
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 62,6 % N 23,4 % 2 14,1 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,270 / 0,640 / 1,390
Raw pick Pas de pari
Arouca Arouca
vs
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Finished Score: 1 - 2 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 52,6 %
Related odds 17/10
Weighted score 4,100

Arouca favorisé par Buts (+3,04).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,72
xG
1,16
10
Shots
12
4
Shots on target
5
Possession
64,0 %
Possession
36,0 %
88,0 %
Completed passes
73,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
12
3
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
1
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 18,00 €
Simulated result -18,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 17/10 / 21/10 / 8/5
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 52,6 % N 26,3 % 2 21,2 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,380 / -0,160 / -0,420
Raw pick 1
Famalicao Famalicao
vs
Sporting CP Sporting CP
Finished Score: 1 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 65,6 %
Related odds 37/50
Weighted score -14,452

Sporting CP favorisé par Potentiel (-4,65).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
0,35
xG
2,28
5
Shots
16
2
Shots on target
5
Possession
32,0 %
Possession
68,0 %
77,0 %
Completed passes
92,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
11
2
Yellow cards
4
1
Red cards
0
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 15,00 €
Simulated result -15,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 189/50 / 27/10 / 37/50
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 12,1 % N 22,3 % 2 65,6 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,330 / -0,110 / 0,050
Raw pick 2
Rio Ave Rio Ave
vs
Estrela Estrela
Finished Score: 3 - 3 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 46,2 %
Related odds 3/2
Weighted score -6,407

Estrela favorisé par Buts (-5,33).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,23
xG
1,87
11
Shots
20
6
Shots on target
6
Possession
38,0 %
Possession
62,0 %
83,0 %
Completed passes
89,0 %
Discipline
16
Fouls
12
2
Yellow cards
3
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 15,00 €
Simulated result -15,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/4 / 9/4 / 3/2
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 26,4 % N 27,5 % 2 46,2 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,280 / -0,110 / 0,150
Raw pick 2
Moreirense Moreirense
vs
Maritimo Maritimo
Finished Score: 3 - 1 View match
2
Engine decision
Footlab decision 2
Associated probability 39,6 %
Related odds 31/20
Weighted score -3,859

Maritimo favorisé par Buts (-3,04).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
2,00
xG
0,76
11
Shots
9
5
Shots on target
2
Possession
38,0 %
Possession
62,0 %
80,0 %
Completed passes
84,0 %
Discipline
14
Fouls
16
1
Yellow cards
3
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 10,00 €
Simulated result -10,00 €
Match ROI -100,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 7/4 / 21/10 / 31/20
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 32,3 % N 28,2 % 2 39,6 %
Values 1 / N / 2 -0,210 / -0,130 / 0,140
Raw pick 2
SC Braga SC Braga
vs
Estoril Estoril
Finished Score: 1 - 0 View match
1
Engine decision
Footlab decision 1
Associated probability 71,1 %
Related odds 57/100
Weighted score 12,391

SC Braga favorisé par Force Dom/Ext (+4,08).

Compared statistics
Home vs Away
Attacking
1,79
xG
0,75
20
Shots
12
7
Shots on target
1
Possession
58,0 %
Possession
42,0 %
86,0 %
Completed passes
82,0 %
Discipline
9
Fouls
12
0
Yellow cards
4
0
Red cards
1
Period: J6 Matches: 1 Simulated

Descriptive indicator — does not predict future results.

Small sample: interpret with caution.

Understanding these numbers
Simulated amounts Fictional simulation
Simulated amount 10,00 €
Simulated result +5,70 €
Match ROI +57,0 %
Advanced data
Odds 1 / Draw / 2 57/100 / 29/10 / 17/4
1 / N / 2 probabilities
1 71,1 % N 19,9 % 2 9,0 %
Values 1 / N / 2 0,070 / -0,200 / -0,460
Raw pick 1
Understanding the Footlab analysis

Amounts displayed are fictional simulations.

For information purposes only. Displayed probabilities and odds describe a statistical reading of the match. Footlab provides no betting advice and no promise of results.
Standings & statistics Compare two teams