1 - 0
Match statistics
50%
Possession
50%
18
Tirs
5
5
Tirs cadres
0
13
Tirs non cadres
5
13
Fautes
5
2
Cartons jaunes
0
2.84
xG
0.38
Match momentum
Probability history
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How the engine’s probabilities moved minute by minute is part of the full analysis.
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Comparing both teams across the model’s six axes is part of the full analysis.
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France
2
—
1
Full time
France
2
—
1
Full time
Team comparator
12
Points
9
2.3
xG
1.4
7
Shots on target
4
57
Control score
43
The value bet detected
Value bet detected
The engine identified :pick — value +:ev%, suggested stake :stake.
Lineups
France
4-3-3
Lineups
4-4-2
Argentina
15
Thuram
20
Coman
18
Zaïre-Emery
22
Martínez
25
Garnacho
18
Palacios
Win probability evolution
France
Draw
Argentina
0'45'90'
Match events
- 23' De Paul
- Mbappé 38'
- Tchouaméni 57'
- 63' Messi
- Thuram 83'
- 90' Otamendi
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Understanding the Footlab analysis of this match
Head-to-head (H2H)
League only (Primeira Liga)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2026 |
Nacional
|
2-0 |
Guimaraes
|
| 02/01/2026 |
Guimaraes
|
2-1 |
Nacional
|
| 03/05/2025 |
Nacional
|
1-2 |
Guimaraes
|
| 23/12/2024 |
Guimaraes
|
2-2 |
Nacional
|
Match timeline
- But Gustavo 4'
- Carton jaune G. Nogueira 28'
- Carton jaune 38'
- Carton jaune T. Margarido 45'
- Penalty manque 49'
- Penalty manque 51'
- 56' Remplacement Wesley Gasolina -> D. I. de la Cruz
- 56' Remplacement M. Baeza -> W. Kokolo
- Remplacement L. Doucet -> B. Mukendi 63'
- Remplacement M. Nogueira -> O. Camara 63'
- 68' Remplacement Liziero -> S. Gavriel
- Remplacement G. Nogueira -> M. Mitrovic 72'
- Remplacement Gustavo -> T. Arcanjo 78'
- 79' Remplacement M. Jensen -> A. Obando
- 80' Remplacement Matheus Dias -> M. Djalo
- 90' Carton jaune
You vs the Footlab model
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The model’s consistency on both teams is part of the full analysis.
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